Mac's Marvelous Mathematical Rankings (modified)
Alright, due to the late start, and the dis-inclination for me to calculate how much historical variation there has been we will begin this season somewhat raw.
An explanation of what you are about to see! A perfect game is a score of 50. This will include perfection and dominance in all three phases. A 0 is a crap-the-bed, fans wondering if they should have sent out the junior team.
The score is a whole team score. A team involved in a shoot-out high scoring affair will not be guaranteed a higher score than one in a defensive struggle, all 3 phases count, as do penalties.
There is no allowance for 'factors'. You can well believe that Toronto will look stronger with some familiarity and timing between QB and receivers, but they're performance was not there. Ditto 'garbage time' points. Your analysis has some advantages over my dis-passionate system.
The closer one is to a perfect team, the tighter the scores. It's not quite exponential, but expect horrid showings very low, and better showings more tightly clustered, as the season goes on you will come to appreciate how hard those last points are to get. 50 is literally flawless and therefore impossible (as far as we know). Currently I am unaware of what an 'average' would be, next year's scale may shrink or grow or compress as a result of showings this year. The math itself is solid and unbiased (I know how it looks this week.....)
So, finally, to the numbers:
BC: 39.15
Sask: 38.12
Cal: 37.76
Wpg: 37.25
Edm: 34.00
Mtl: 28.70
TO: 25.00
Ham: 23.00
Well, there you have it. Again, exponentially harder to get closer to a perfect game. Clearly an average performance is not the middle of the scale. I admit surprise that the bombers are above the Esks (though I actually didn't watch your game) and that Mtl is that high with so few points scored, but it is a whole team thing. We'll see......
Comments?
An explanation of what you are about to see! A perfect game is a score of 50. This will include perfection and dominance in all three phases. A 0 is a crap-the-bed, fans wondering if they should have sent out the junior team.
The score is a whole team score. A team involved in a shoot-out high scoring affair will not be guaranteed a higher score than one in a defensive struggle, all 3 phases count, as do penalties.
There is no allowance for 'factors'. You can well believe that Toronto will look stronger with some familiarity and timing between QB and receivers, but they're performance was not there. Ditto 'garbage time' points. Your analysis has some advantages over my dis-passionate system.
The closer one is to a perfect team, the tighter the scores. It's not quite exponential, but expect horrid showings very low, and better showings more tightly clustered, as the season goes on you will come to appreciate how hard those last points are to get. 50 is literally flawless and therefore impossible (as far as we know). Currently I am unaware of what an 'average' would be, next year's scale may shrink or grow or compress as a result of showings this year. The math itself is solid and unbiased (I know how it looks this week.....)
So, finally, to the numbers:
BC: 39.15
Sask: 38.12
Cal: 37.76
Wpg: 37.25
Edm: 34.00
Mtl: 28.70
TO: 25.00
Ham: 23.00
Well, there you have it. Again, exponentially harder to get closer to a perfect game. Clearly an average performance is not the middle of the scale. I admit surprise that the bombers are above the Esks (though I actually didn't watch your game) and that Mtl is that high with so few points scored, but it is a whole team thing. We'll see......
Comments?
Comment